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Well, hello there! Happy Thursday! We’re approaching the end of the week, and that’s excellent news. The NFL’s Week 15 starts tonight with the and , and I have a pick for it that we’ll get to Robert Covington Jersey it soon enough. Then, on Friday, conference championship weekend begins in , and we have a full slate of games Saturday as well as a couple of . And, you know, then comes Sunday.In other words, we’ve got wall-to-wall football for the next few days, and it won’t stop on Sunday. Bowl season starts next week as well, meaning we’ve hit one of the most wonderful times of the year.If you love football, you’ve reached Football Valhalla. Congratulations, you’ve earned it.The first thing that you should do now that you’re here is catch up on your reading. It’s fundamental, you know. . ? .OK, let’s make some money The Hot Ticket The Pick: Under 52.5 (-110): If you’ve been following all season, you know a few things about me and what I look for. Heck, you don’t even have to have been reading all season, just this week. On Monday night, I took the under between Baltimore and Cleveland because it was a divisional rematch. It blew up in my face, but the principle remains. When divisional opponents play for the second time in a season, the games tend to be lower-scoring.It seems sharp money would agree with the a se sment as well. This line opened at 55 but has since dropped to 53. I still see value here. The total is as high as it is because the Raiders have a good offense and an awful defense — an awful defense mi sing a few key players tonight. But when you’re already one of the worst in the league (28th in DVOA), there’s only so much worse you can get! On the flip side, this Chargers offense has taken a dip in recent weeks. On the season, it’s averaging 1.93 points per drive (23rd in ), Al-Farouq Aminu Jersey but that number has dropped to 1.06 in the last three games. Even the are managing 1.25 points per drive this year! Key Trend: The Under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings.SportsLine’s Projection Model has revealed its . College Basketball Picks The Pick: St. Johns +7.5 (-110) –Creighton is a good team, but it’s a good team that’s overrated a bit. It’s at No. 9 in the AP Poll, but if we look at KenPom rankings, it’s at 17. KenPom rankings are based on performance. There’s no “deserve” factor that is much more prevalent in human polls. Creighton has one of the best offenses in the country, but that’s partially due to a weak schedule. They’ve lost their two most significant challenges against Kansas and Marquette. Those two teams happen to be the only top C.J. McCollum Jersey 100 teams the Jays have faced, according to KenPom.St. Johns isn’t as good as either of them, but it’s much better than the teams Creighton has beaten. At home, I think players like Julian Champagnie and Isaih Moore will be able to use their size and length to their advantage and keep the Storm within the number. Key Trend: St. Johns is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 as a home dog.The Pick: Oregon -7.5 (-110) –San Francisco first grabbed attention this season when it beat Virginia, 61-60. It was a huge win, but it was one that came with both teams playing their third game in three days, and it had only been scheduled the day before. The Dons have also lost to UMa s-Lowell, Rhode Island and Cal earlier this week. Tonight they’re facing an Oregon team NBA Portland Trail Blazers Jeresy that has won four straight since losing its season-opener to a Mi souri team that’s been a lot better than most expected it to be this season. This is a mismatch as far as I can tell, and the Ducks should win and cover with comfort.Key Trend: Oregon is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 home games.SportsLine’s Hammerin’ Hank Goldberg, who is 11-4 with his last 15 picks involving the Raiders, has . The DFS Rundown Your MVP or Captain — It feels like Herbert has run into a bit of a rookie wall, as his performances have begun to tail off in recent weeks. In the last three weeks, he’s thrown three touchdowns to go with five interceptions. Still, in the first meeting against the Raiders, he threw for 326 yards and two touchdowns while also rushing for 24 yards. Your MVP tonight needs to be Herbert or (try to have both in your lineups), but I think Herbert’s the higher-scoring of the two more often than not. Value — Renfrow is usually a solid value option for single-game slates involving the Raiders. He’s seen an uptick in usage the last three weeks, with 22 targets, 16 receptions and 158 yards. He doesn’t offer much of a ceiling since he’s not a touchdown scorer, but he gets enough targets that he’s a safe bet to meet his price point. Full lineup advice SportsLine’s team of DFS insiders has you covered for daily fantasy Jaylen Hoard Jersey sports. Mike McClure has won almost $2 million playing DFS, and Jacob Gibbs was ranked as one of the nation’s most accurate Fantasy experts last year. Plus, to get optimal NFL DFS picks from 10,000 simulations. Thursday Night PropsJustin Herbert Over 9.5 rushing yards (-110) Over 10.5 receiving yards (-110) Under 5.5 receptions (+110)Raiders D/ST to score a touchdown (+550)

Are we all just convinced now that the are drafting Mac Jones with the third overall selection?Is that just a thing now? Nothing to see here? All done? Baked into the 2021 cake? Because, well, I’m not convinced. And neither are some other coaches and execs around the league.Don’t get me wrong I am not saying Jones won’t end up being the pick. I don’t know one way or the other right now, and it’s up for debate as to whether the 49ers bra s has completely made up its mind. One thing is certain you can’t believe much of what any coach or GM says about the draft this time of year, but for what it’s worth, the “Jones is a lock Mario Edwards Jr. Jersey for the third overall pick” narrative that is all the rage is not pa sing the smell test of some other teams in this draft.The 49ers are most definitely using the selection on a QB, that much is for sure. And if the card is in and Roger Goodell says Mac Jones, Justin Fields or Trey Lance, I wouldn’t flinch. None of that would surprise me at this point; anything else would be a shocker. The 49ers are closely evaluating all three, with Trevor Lawrence a lock to go first overall and Zach Wilson headed to the with the second overall pick. Draft starts at 3.And this time of year the more you hear certain narratives either in the scouting community or parroted in the media, or all of the above the more they have a way of just becoming the norm. A sumptions tend to become pre-draft “realities” and then get amplified by the overload of mock drafts and by draft night we’re convinced of things that are, in fact, not true.So I am continuing to find myself among those skeptics. Skeptics who have evaluated this quarterback cla s and who find themselves shaking their heads at all of the Field slander popping up all over place. Skeptics who just aren’t buying that Jones, for as well he played this season at Alabama, is a superior prospect worthy of being the third overall selection. Skeptics who think you don’t make a jump like this for a prospect who may be close to topping out, physically.A year ago you could find any number of people — speaking anonymously, of course — who would have you believe was going to drop out of the top 10 and perhaps plummet Nick Foles Jersey all the way to the mid-teens, if not deeper. Didn’t make much sense from a factual standpoint, but damn if it didn’t become a thing. It was everywhere in the media and numerous thought exercises were put forth discerning how far he would likely plummet if the didn’t take him with the fifth pick and then the Dolphins took him with the fifth pick, which always made a ton of sense before draft silly season kicked into overdrive. Even I eventually talked myself out of just slotting him to Miami in my mock draft despite railing against the Tua trash talk all spring long. Shame on me. I find myself coming back to that now, in Marquise Goodwin Jersey regards to Fields and Jones.Is Jones definitely a better fit in the modern pa sing game under Kyle Shanahan than Fields or Lance? In what way? Did he really have higher highs than Fields in college? Does he truly have more potential and the same athletic ceiling? Perhaps he is more plug-and-play this very moment but is that why teams make a move as bold as the 49ers to jump up for a QB?”I don’t buy it,” one AFC executive said. “I think it’s Fields at 3.”An NFC exec: “I don’t know one way or the other, but I have a hard time seeing Mac Jones as the third player in this draft.”Another NFC exec: “Doesn’t smell right to me.”Perhaps this is not an elaborate ruse, the origins of which are not quite known. Perhaps the immediate chatter in the aftermath of the 49ers moving into the top five over a month before the draft is in fact the way things will go down. This far from the start of the draft, it’s still more difficult to sort things out than it becomes the week of the draft, when lines of communication between the teams heat up and execs invariably have to tip their hand a little bit here or there about potential trades and trade targets. Especially with no combine and no private visits and workouts this year, it’s more difficult than ever to get an early bead on some things. This year’s pre-draft run-up is even more bizarre Chicago Bears T Shirts than last year’s on many levels and everything is lagging; medicals, metrics on many key prospects, and certainly the flow of information all of which makes the prevalence of Jones-to-the-49ers as a fait accompli all the more interesting to me.The continued dragging of Fields, despite his historic season at Ohio State, feels all too familiar and oh so lame, and I continue to speak privately to executives I trust who are thinking QB in this draft who do not see him getting outside the top seven picks. They Gale Sayers Jersey see a potential transformational talent. They see a kid who, if Trevor Lawrence isn’t in this draft, would be locked in to Jacksonville with the first overall pick, no questions asked.”Maybe teams are seeing things we don’t see,” said a high-ranking official of one team that could take a QB in the first round. “But this kid looks special to me.” I continue to hear the and are two teams very high on Jones, and that if he did become the fifth quarterback off the board which is where most had him spotted when the actual stopped being played things could get interesting. New England could move up a few spots from 15; New Orleans has a steep climb from 28th overall, though that’s where many would have projected his sweet spot to be when his college career concluded. Was the heavy 49ers presence for Jones’ workout a bit of a head-fake? Are they relishing in the mystery and all of the sleuth work going on here, and giving a feint or two along the way? We’ll find out in a few weeks, but I’d caution you to keep an open mind about the po sibilities of this selection.